> You might want to update your model based on the latest bombs
The "latest bomb" hasn't changed significantly in the last 50 years. Typical Russian strategic warheads that are actually deployed are between 250KT and 1MT. While they CAN make bigger warheads, those are not deployed in large numbers. There is also the Poseidon class nuclear torpedo (with a 100MT warhead), but I don't think my location is a very likely target for that.
If you haven't seen it already, this site has a rough simulation of how far you need to be from a nuke detonation site to suffer various effects:
https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/
> And conclude that you are safe nowhere. Literally.
I didn't say safe. I said, if one bomb detonates in the nearest city, I'm more likely to live than not (as in >50% chance to survive the blast itself).