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0 pointsgonzo413y ago0 comments

Yes, but I think America will walk back it's current hawkish defense posture around going head to head with china over Taiwan over the next 10 years. If they get into a fight, I expect the US to supply arms and money but not soldiers or marines.

This posture change will keep pace broadly with the American domestic chip fab industry.

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chuckster5633y ago

The US has had Taiwan in its China war plan for decades now. It is the single best point to defend against an aggressive China.

enraged_camel3y ago

>> If they get into a fight, I expect the US to supply arms and money but not soldiers or marines.

This is very obviously true, since China is a nuclear power and has ICBMs as well. We won't be involved in a hot war with them for the same reason we have been avoiding that with Russia.

rnk3y ago

I don't think you are right. Only if the pro-authoritarian Republicans seize power in the US. Trump, or others. The same factors that lead to Republicans wanting to help Russia could ultimately come to sway in Chinese policy in the US.

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