https://www.africanews.com/2022/06/28/zimbabwes-key-interest...
Why am I being downvoted? All this is is a data point showing that rising interest rates don't have to bring down inflation.
The currency in Zimbabwe is so unreliable that barter has become the principal way of saving and storing wealth.
Zimbabwe has “cow banks.” You take your cash salary, and give it to the cow bank. The cow bank uses the cash to buy a cow.
The cow is put into a pen. You can make surprise visits to ensure the cows are alive, healthy, and not being “shared” with other customers.
Interest rates are based on the fertility rates of cattle, not central bank policies.
More like owning a pet horse.
That does have some relevance to the US because the federal government can borrow+spend way more than a small country with a bad credit score - but since the interest rates they borrow at are coupled to the Fed rate, rising rates should in theory slow that down.
Furthermore, most money in the USA isn't even reserves, but rather bank deposits. Theoretically bank deposits are supposedly somehow constrained by reserves, but that hasn't really been true for well over a decade. Raising rates doesn't directly impair banks ability to originate as many new loans and corresponding deposits as they care to. Conceivably, higher rates could reduce the demand for loans from credit-worthy borrowers, or even reduce the pool of credit-worthy borrowers directly, but I'm not sure it doesn't end up being a wash after accounting for inflation.
Personally I suspect most of the effects that we do see are related to hysteresis rather than a fundamental transmission mechanism from interest rates. That is to say, the shocking effects we see from rate increases aren't due to a fundamental change, but rather a lag while market participants to catch up with the new rules of the game.
Another important factor is the prestige media using all of its persuasive powers to convince market participants that Fed actions will result in a downturn. There certainly is a large psychological component to economic activity.
No no no no no. It means that Congress created the Fed, and Congress can destroy the Fed. Congress can also change its charter.
But Congress is capable of creating and destroying independent agencies.
“I buy that car and fill it with gas. You drive it.”