I've lost track of the number of times that I've taken badly abstracted code, reintroduced all the duplication, then refactored to remove the duplication with an entirely different abstraction and the code was many times easier to read.
And have you lived in a codebase for many years, where you've never come back to a method that you extracted and realized that you named it wrong? Or the requirements of the code grew and the duplication wasn't really at the level that you picked and you wind up with a method that grows all kinds of horrible options to change its internal behavior?
Honestly the biggest problem I've had with maintaining the principle of not duplicating code is when a PO and/or UI/UX designer think we should only apply improvements to one feature to reduce the amount of work, when in fact it should be less work to apply them to all.