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0 pointspfisch3y ago0 comments

If you spent time on predictit you would know the conspiracy people aren't rational and lose all their money. They bet in ways that reflect their disjointed understanding of the world.

Not understanding the odds of their bets in general, and getting wrecked on stupid, improbable maga bets about Hillary getting locked up.

Conspiracy people tend to be ultra partisan and believe things with no real evidence beyond they want these things to be true. That doesn't work when they start betting actual money.

There was tons of money to be made long after the 2020 election on whether or not trump would magically become president again.

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aaaaaaaaata3y ago

Out of curiosity, how many "conspiracy people" do you have exposure to/hang out with?

pfischOP3y ago

I have made well over 10k betting against them in absurd bets where the odds of trump becoming president months after the election were estimated by them to be much higher than any rational person would think them to be.

I also spend a decent amount of time looking at qanon websites/forums/reading their insane chatter on twitter.

What do you think the odds of Biden being a body double clone are? Many of them think the odds of this are well over 50%.

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