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0 pointsunclebucknasty4y ago0 comments

Yeah, but even this doesn't seem very thoughtful. He recently acknowledged his predictions around full self-driving were wrong, and said it was because he'd failed to appreciate that it would essentially require artificial general intelligence.

Then he claimed we'd have that solved by 2023.

Not sure what the upside is of being known for repeatedly making non-rational predictions and being wrong.

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thr0wawayf004y ago· 2 in thread

> Not sure what the upside is of being known for repeatedly making non-rational predictions and being wrong.

It can significantly move markets in the short term, which he seems to have become adept at doing over the last few years. And unfortunately, the stock market isn't really interested in long-term thinking, it's largely about breaking news and twitter rumors nowadays.

unclebucknastyOP4y ago

Well, he's definitely mastered market manipulation. I take your point there.

But, the degree of absurdity across predictions undermines even that strategy over time. I think he does himself a disservice here. He should get out of his own way and allow his actual achievements to speak louder than irrational predictions (and other distractions).

thr0wawayf004y ago

I totally agree, and that's the very definition of short-term thinking: doing what's best for today at tomorrow's expense.

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