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0 pointslazide4y ago0 comments

You’d be staking out the ground first as ‘your fight’ - so in general maybe.

In this case for instance, if NATO had moved in before Russia into Ukraine however, that would be really, really bad.

A big factor behind this war already is Russian insecurity about NATO strength and being frozen out of traditionally Russian territory.

It would be a bit like Russia occupying some of the Aleutians all the sudden. Not likely to go well. Sudden double flashes not well.

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JPLeRouzic4y ago· 1 in thread

Thanks for your answer which is insightful. As you explain there is asymmetry in the case of countries that are close to a border of one of the actors (either US or Russia).

So can we expect other similar moves from Russia into countries that are not part of NATO and which have no common frontiers with US?

lazideOP4y ago

They have been for awhile. Georgia, for instance.

They’ve been threatening countries like Finland, Sweden, etc. every time they consider it too.

When it was non-western aligned Soviet breakaway republics, it was easier to ignore.

The invasion of Ukraine was too obvious and ham handed. Moscow has doubled down on the threats to those on the fence since then, enough to push folks back over to the other side.

Which likely just pushes Russia more solidly into doubling down/existential threat mode.

Here is some timely news on the topic.

[https://news.yahoo.com/finland-and-sweden-moving-toward-poss...]

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