Moore's law is in the saggy part of the S-curve, it's been morally dead for fourteen years in some ways, eleven years in others, and for eight years transistors flat out don't shrink at all they just pack more of them in the same space. I saw this coming, I did the math with the size of the transistors and the size of the chips and realized 99.5% of the area on a chip was empty back when 14 nanometer was the smallest. That's what new lithographies go for, they fill up that empty space. It ain't over til it's over, but when it is in fact over, it's over. It's over.
[1] South Korea, China, which is the new one? Is there a new one? A lot of the time it's artificial and carefully presented to market the exponential curve shit, mainly by lying about the beginning of the segment to make it look smaller and the end of the segment to make it look bigger. Shoehorning it. Also defining the segment as unique, like giving it an identity so it's meaningful to isolate it from the bigger picture which is not exponential because it has a past and a future. Moore's Law talks about transistors, why not talk about valves instead and look at the history since the nineteenth century, or since Leibniz for that matter? Like you can make a switch out of wood, people did, they transmitted energy by moving staffs of wood back and forth. Cuckoo clocks. Antikythera mechanism. The abacus. Mental arithmetic.
The big thing there is for usury, usurers have to keep the dream of exponential growth alive to charge exponential compound interest without getting tarred and feathered like so many usurers before them.