As I've written elsewhere this all comes down to the prior, based on my life experience the prior "people are generally capable of self-assessing their performance" is much more likely than "people have absolutely no ability to self-assess their performance."
To state it differently, when you assume no dependencies anywhere, you've already jumped to a conclusion that is more far-fetched to me than the results of DK. Do you really think people have zero ability to self-assess their own performance? In all domains and all contexts, as this is your "null hypothesis"?