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0 pointsgreggman34y ago0 comments

I don't care who's in charge. I care if suggestions/mandates fit the data. As of today, daily new cases in California are 2x-4x and deaths around 2x what they were in November. If in a week they are 1x then ok, open. But before then? Further, I guess it remains to be seen but I'd suspect lifting the restrictions will just rebound the numbers. Happy if I'm wrong though. I certainly would like to go to meetups, bars, etc...

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3 comments · 3 top-level

astrange4y ago

California is a big place, and that's not what the numbers look like in the Bay Area.

https://covid19.sccgov.org/dashboards

https://covid19.sccgov.org/dashboard-wastewater

I actually don't think the numbers will rebound; once everyone is protected from delta+omicron that does _not_ mean a new variant can keep appearing forever. It has to be different from both of them for immune escape, and that gets harder each time.

Also, we have antivirals now (paxlovid) which we didn't have even a month ago and are very effective.

patrick4514y ago

There was no guarantee we got it right (however you define that) six months ago. So it makes zero sense to match today's policy to the policy six months ago just because the case counts are similar. This is just cargo culted public policy.

Secondly, countless times we have seen a negative correlation between restrictions and case/death counts.

seanmcdirmid4y ago

Most of the serious cases/deaths are unvaccinated. Since they made that choice to endure that extra risk, there simply is no reason for the rest of us to carry on with the consequences of their choices.

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