Why do journalists feel so comfortable extrapolating from an entirely different country which has wildly different demographics, exposure characterists and past wave impacts. What I'm saying is:
1) Suppose a disease came by and wiped out all the main at risk people.
2) Now the disease comes back round with mutations but mostly the same at risk demographics.
At step 2 you would no longer be able to extrapolate from this country which has no data on at-risk people at step 2 because they are all dead.
Are we sure if Omicron was the original strain, it would be considered milder?