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0 pointsnotahacker4y ago0 comments

> Every time there is a fork, the market decides how much to value the forks

So literally the same as every monetary policy change involving every currency that didn't use PoW in history...

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No, not true. Nodes can literally just choose to use the version of software that provides the best money. You can’t choose to use the US monetary policy from 1960, for example.

This has happened multiple times with attempted hard forks of Bitcoin which have failed because once you change the monetary policy once, the promise of hard money effect disappears. So the original monetary policy remains in place and the original network continues as the reigning champion.

meribold4y ago

I imagine the idea of a hard fork of Bitcoin may become more popular as the supply limit is approached and transaction fees go up. The current transaction fee is only a few dollars but the cost is over a hundred. Eventually the fee will have to cover the full cost and a hard fork may start to look more interesting.

If this happens I can technically stay on the original protocol, but that would be rather pointless if a sufficient majority abandons it.

javert4y ago

The natural scenario is that as the mining reward goes down, hash rate will dwindle until mining is profitable again.

The only real problem with that is that with a small hash rate, bitcoin can be attacked more easily.

If bitcoin is the monetary backbone for many nations, they will subsidize miners to maintain the balance of power. That is the actual scenario that I'm optimistically predicting.

If bitcoin isn't the monetary backbone for many nations, by then, then it's probably a failure, and should probably be allowed to die.

It's also very possible that transactions fees alone actually will be sufficient to support a high enough amount of hash power to secure the network.

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rufusroflpunch4y ago

I wouldn’t worry about it. Bitcoin incentivizes energy development. As the world moves to a Bitcoin standard, we will unlock new types of energy that were previously unproductive. It’s likely that energy will more cheap and plentiful under a Bitcoin standard, leading to downward pressure on transaction prices as mining is more economical. Also, more transactions are likely to move off chain to Lightning Network and sidechains.

Still plenty of scaling left in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

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rufusroflpunch4y ago

No, not true. Nodes can literally just choose to use the version of software that provides the best money. You can’t choose to use the US monetary policy from 1960, for example.

meribold4y ago

If this happens I can technically stay on the original protocol, but that would be rather pointless if a sufficient majority abandons it.

javert4y ago

The natural scenario is that as the mining reward goes down, hash rate will dwindle until mining is profitable again.

The only real problem with that is that with a small hash rate, bitcoin can be attacked more easily.

If bitcoin is the monetary backbone for many nations, they will subsidize miners to maintain the balance of power. That is the actual scenario that I'm optimistically predicting.

If bitcoin isn't the monetary backbone for many nations, by then, then it's probably a failure, and should probably be allowed to die.

It's also very possible that transactions fees alone actually will be sufficient to support a high enough amount of hash power to secure the network.

2 more replies

rufusroflpunch4y ago

Still plenty of scaling left in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

4 more replies

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