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0 pointsnl4y ago0 comments

> I think people have unrealistic expectations about such a young idea.

It launched in Feb 2015.

Things that have launched since then:

The idea of Donald Trump as President of the USA

TikTok

Covid-19

Tesla Model 3

OpenAI

It's entirely possible that everything could change any day now. It's equally plausible that it's just a bad implementation of a decent idea, and something similar could come along and deliver on its promise.

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perl4ever4y ago· 2 in thread

>The idea of Donald Trump as President of the USA

I find this disturbing, because not only is it not true, that it originated in 2015, and many people have commented on how The Simpsons predicted it in 2000...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bart_to_the_Future

...but the reason they predicted it had a lot to do with Trump running in 2000, and more recently, he's reportedly been saying he is such a winner he won the first time he ran.

So it reminds me of the famous photo with Stalin and the "vanishing Commissar"...but what do you know - that has been deleted from Wikipedia recently!

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:The_Commissar_Vanish...

It was there prior to 2016 though:

https://web.archive.org/web/20150516002908/https://commons.w...

nlOP4y ago

You are missing the point of what I'm saying.

Trump wasn't taken seriously as a candidate in 2015. He didn't declare his candidacy until July 2015 at which point his odds were 150/1 and it didn't get above 66/1 in 2015.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-36392621

In 2000 his run wasn't taken seriously either. He had a approval rating of 7%. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_2000_presidenti...

perl4ever4y ago

Ok, fine, you wrote "the idea" and you meant "taking seriously".

But I suspect you had it right the first time. I sort of think "the idea" is the relevant stage. And that adds ~15 years to that particular thing.

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