Reality is Xi hasn't done much to escalate saber rattling across strait, most of the unprecedented ADIZ flights were targeting foreign carriers in the region - trilateral carrier exercises last week in SCS, or just run of mill training.
PRC not sending H6s tasked with antiship to Bashi channels to practice sinking TW carriers. PRC hasn't remotely begun exerting military pressure on TW, most the conniptions so far is from PRC growing military capacity organically on modest 2% budget. Eastern Theatre Command isn't going to stop training because TW likes to whine about ADIZ incursions for attention. And PRC isn't going to not intercept these foreign carrier exercises off her coast regardless of SCS geopolitics. It's too close to PRC shores and critically, PRC simply has the capability to intercept US carriers now, it's going to practice using that capability going forward.
For those that follow the subject, PRC/Xi has been EXTREMELY gentle on Tsai/DPP not affirming 92 consensus. Most of the signals are status quo. Some tourism and fruit bans are nothing compared to how much TW/US has destabilized the relationship. There's a reason why report in TW suggest people aren't concerned about war, while useful idiot sin the west are losing their minds. Because PRC hasn't saber rattled that much, especially compared to drama in past cross strait crises. If PRC wants to cross the median line and make TW shit bricks, they can, trivially by shelling Kinmen and Matsu again, or test missiles in ROC territorial waters. But right now most ADIZ incursions are either normal training exercises or PRC responding to US carriers spung as PRC threatening TW.
