The poster is making a positive claim without evidence. Indeed the claim is unverifiable.

Reasonable priors lead fo a null hypothesis that they are at least simply mistaken.

This is without even taking into account other indicators of credibility or authority, or perverse incentives, as priors.

This is a rational use of ‘null hypothesis’, but it also matches the scientific use, which would be that the claim is spurious unless experiment shows otherwise.

In any case, we know that the poster is in fact wrong in their claim.

The poster’s claim is false based on what they have said.

> you're just as questionable in conclusion as the poster.

Not correct. You don’t need evidence to disprove a claim that is logically false. The poster’s claim is logically false.

Here is a copy of the explanation I gave elsewhere:

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I can be certain because I have looked at the images, and they are obviously not CSAM. Since the visual derivative is generated from CSAM, any spoof must look like it could be mistaken at a glance for CSAM.

What prevents a generated image from matching both is that the attacker would need to know what the image they are trying to spoof looks like, in order to make a false positive of both. I.e. the attacker would need a copy of the original CSAM, and the spoofed file would end up looking like it could be at least plausibly mistaken for that exact image.