story
The biggest issue I have is developers making business decisions without realizing it or without saying it — saying no to something because it would take too long or be too expensive, without first asking how much time/cost can be consumed
The same occurs with estimating — they’ll give a risky estimate instead of a safe one, because they’ll unilaterally decide the stable one is unacceptable; and not bother mentioning this with their estimate, or knowing what the rest of the timelines look like.
The other half of the problem is that people tend to only want to give one number (and people typically ask for a single number), but what you really want for project planning is the median +- margin of error timelines. The 1x,2x,3x rule is just a hack to work around that unwillingness.