This theory also explains why innovators should target niche markets, and then expand to larger markets, and not the other way around. It is much easier to overcome the inevitable resistance to change on a specialized niche market, and then the social network effect will help with adoption on larger and larger circles.
Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages, by Carlota Perez
This is a bedside book for any Venture Capitalist interested in the various phases a major innovation goes through. Investment bubbles being one of these phases.
My personal recommendations are to read “The Innovator’s Dilemma” by the late Clayton Christensen and “Ecclesiastes” (ESV for Native English speakers) by Koholet.
“The Innovator’s Dilemma” has had a major impact on me. Keep moving the ball forward and keep finding the biggest market despite what your current market thinks.
“Ecclesiastes” is a great reminder that we will all die and it is good to be apart in the present. To innovate. To make things better regardless if we will live to see the positive impact or not.
Both are honestly great books about life in general too.
Ecclesiastes talks so much about the rhythms of life and the benefits of gaining knowledge and then using knowledge, the benefits of working hard and celebrating accomplishment. When I look at our various economic cycles, especially periods of innovation followed by periods of consolidation in tech, I can see a lot to draw from Ecclesiastes. I'll be pondering it more!
I'd suggest a few additions:
- John H. Holland has outlined, though I'm not sure he's actually written a book on, the process of innovation and novel creation, which he describes generally as a mostly recombinative process. New inventions are almost always produced as an edit of one or more earlier ones. Sometimes via deletion, often through combination, sometimes through duplication. This applies to both human invention and genetic processes. (Holland is best known as the father of genetic algorithms.) I'm aware of his work through the Santa Fe Institute, where his ideas have been carried on by others (Arthur is another SFI affiliate).
- Kevin Kelley, What Technology Wants. I'm not a fan, but it's an influential book. Steven Johnson has a number of similarly-pitched titles, Where Good Ideas Come From: The Natural History of Information and How We Got to Now especially.
- Joseph Tainter, The Collapse of Complex Societies puts innovation and complexity in their larger societal context and cycle.
- Histories of industrial R&D labs are insightful. Two of which I'm aware, David A. Hounshell, Corporate Strategy: Du Pont R&D, 1902--1980, and Jon Gertner, The Idea Factory: Bell Labs and the Great Age of American Innovation.
Similar to Coases's theory of transaction costs, without which companies would not need to exist as everybody could transact freely amongst each other.
The only factors which i see definitely applicable are available money and the funneling of the same towards risky innovative endeavors.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23670246 https://benjaminreinhardt.com/wddw
took me almost a month to get through it but well worth the read.
Here are some suggested additions:
Allen, Paul (2011) Idea Man.
Altshuller, Genrich (1999). The Innovation Algorithm: TRIZ, systematic innovation, and technical creativity. Worcester, MA: Technical Innovation Center. ISBN 978-0-9640740-4-0.
Schumpeter, Joseph A. (2009) [1948], "There is still time to stop inflation", in Clemence, Richard V. (ed.), Essays: on entrepreneurs, innovations, business cycles, and the evolution of capitalism, Nation's business, 1, New Brunswick, New Jersey: Transaction Books, pp. 241–52 ISBN 9781412822749 Originally printed as: Schumpeter, Joseph A. (June 1948). "There is still time to stop inflation". The Nation's Business. United States Chamber of Commerce. 6: 33–35, 88–91. Archived from the original on November 29, 2014.
Schumpeter, Joseph A. (1949), "Economic theory and entrepreneurial history", in Wohl, R. R. (ed.), Change and the entrepreneur: postulates and the patterns for entrepreneurial history, Research Center in Entrepreneurial History, Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press.
1. Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy
2. Theory of Economic Development