Warning, though. The article ends before IPO day. Looks like there’s a part 2. Wish there were a simple way to subscribe to that part.
FaceBook being a classic example. More than halved in value in the first 3 months, now 8.5 X IPO price after 8 years.
I got all the way to the end to find it was only the first in the series, that should be indicated here.
Articles that bait their readers into waiting for a part 2 are generally not a good fit for HN. The idea here is to gratify curiosity, not tease it: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html.
All the rest take the risk