Define what a winner is. In your case, it sounds like "a security where a buyer is willing to bid much more than I paid for it".
Ok, what do all those securities have in common? They were all heavily shilled by people with marketing clout, and the unwashed masses were willing to buy in at any price
Yes, that is what I meant by winner. Dont these people have moral a moral standing to see that the value add is less to nothing by such shill? It is hard to bet on people who add real value when hype is what that carries the day...