(disclaimer, I know nothing about bitcoin, there's likely 100 reasons why this makes no technical sense)
In turn that could motivate other governments to heavily regulate bitcoin as they'd see it as a foreign-controlled currency.
That's just fiction, but that's the point, nobody knows for sure who or what Satoshi Nakamoto is, and that's a risk.
True, but it is not a super unlikely outcome either. Identification alone could also result in a loss of trust in the system of Satoshi turned out to be, say, a government.
Could go the opposite way too. It's an unknown that is worth calling out.
I don't personally believe Satoshi was an actual person, and don't believe he'll ever be identified. Most likely the keys to those early blocks have been destroyed, and most people wouldn't do that unless there was an institutional reason for it.
A more likely scenario is that the keys to those coins are compromised, somehow, given their unbelievably high value.