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Either way, the odds are stacked against Amazon Elasticsearch Service
1) AWS ELK team will have to invest and build parallel feature sets of SIEM, Observability, Beats supports, AI/ML, etc.
2) AWS will end up negotiating with Elastic on a revenue sharing model where Elastic commercial features are made available
3) AWS will slowly throttle down on pushing Elastic and make way for its own cloud native solutions such as Kinesis, CloudWatch, etc
Any thoughts on how you see this panning out !