Nowhere did I say it is. I simply think that, if one were following the right information, his win was not as unexpected as the coastal media presented it as being.
Personally I would have put it about 60-40 Hillary-Trump.
You started off by calling the 2016 prediction a debacle, but now you're saying you would have put the odds about 12 percentage points differently. That doesn't seem like a big enough disagreement to warrant the kind of vehement criticism you're throwing around.
I called it a debacle because 99.9% of media sources, pundits, politicians, political figures, or anyone else thought that Hillary had anything less than a guaranteed win. I'm simply suggesting it was actually always a close race, but that the media ignored this because it went against their ideological model / they weren't familiar with places like the Rust Belt.
