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0 pointsnl5y ago0 comments

This is true, but GJP explicitly isn't a prediction market. Instead it's a specific way to make predictions.

You can't bet more of your points in GJP if you are really sure about an answer, hence it isn't a prediction market.

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1 comments · 1 top-level

Yea it’s a forecasting competition but it does seem related in the way that if you were to take things seriously, step one would be to estimate the odds, step two is to buy the position that’s underpriced.

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