I take your point, "because...they can convince a customer they can reap $100 million in additional savings or revenue", this 'potential' revenue extends to the 'value' of the service, and the consulting agency should be allowed to take a proportionally larger share of this potential revenue as fee regardless if they are successful.
I'm coming at this from small businesses, who don't usually have resources (MBAs?) to forecast revenue in the way you're suggesting.
Again, my thought of value-based has a customer with a fixed opinion of the 'value'. You can't really get them to spend more money, because they don't perceive more benefit proportional to increasing cost.
I'm asking, is my application of value-based consistent with the term as you use it? And if yes, on what _other concepts_ does the theory turn to distinguish your concept of fees proportional to the customer's potential revenue?
What flips the interpretation of 'value-pricing' from a 'commodity' service, to your 'gambling' argument? If it's the uncertainty burden, then wow, that is some forecasting and salesmanship!