economics lectures i attended a decade ago indicated that china has already surpassed the US in gdp, but to give us face and to not decelerate their growth, china manipulates their numbers and monetary policy to keep up appearances that the US is still larger.
china has 4x our population and growing like a weed. it’s naive to think they haven’t/won’t/can’t eclipse the US economy. it’s another reason we should overhaul immigration policy to attract the world’s best minds while we still have the prestige to do so.