However, this assumes the current surge deaths are 100% SARS-Cov2 confirmed infections.
They aren’t. At least not 100%
Assumption can be made “atypical, bad flu season” but safer bet is on “newly discovered virus out of China that did x and y and z damage over there.”
While both theories are just that, theories. There is no empirical data which PROVES x-cases and y-surge is directly related to a confirmed SARS-Cov2 pathogen confirmed by RT-PCR and antibody test.
The Italian data is wrong period. Why or how is another debate.