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0 pointsarcticbull6y ago0 comments

> Where are you getting this 0.4% number from? Korea is testing extensively, so CFR is very close to IFR, and CFR is above 1%.

That's not how CFR works, and I was referring to this data [1] which showed folks under 30 with a CFR of 0%, 30-50 at 0.1% and 50-59 at 0.4%, and a total of around 0.69% at the time the data was published.

[1] https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-death-rates-by-a...

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lern_too_spel6y ago

> and I was referring to this data [1]

You were referring to data more than a week old, when the infected cases had neither time to recover nor time to die. The latest figure from yesterday is 1.16% of all cases according to JHU.

> That's not how CFR works

That is exactly how CFR works. If you test more people, C will be closer to I.

arcticbullOP6y ago

No cfr is only I at the end of the epidemic. Either way I slides the data based on those likely exposed.

lern_too_spel6y ago

No. IFR is mortality rate at the end of the epidemic. CFR exactly matches IFR if all infections are diagnosed.

arcticbullOP6y ago

No because you don’t know how many of them will die. In your definition you know the R not the F. Look, I’m quoting the WHO report. You’re welcome to take it up with them.

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lern_too_spel6y ago

> and I was referring to this data [1]

You were referring to data more than a week old, when the infected cases had neither time to recover nor time to die. The latest figure from yesterday is 1.16% of all cases according to JHU.

> That's not how CFR works

That is exactly how CFR works. If you test more people, C will be closer to I.

arcticbullOP6y ago

No cfr is only I at the end of the epidemic. Either way I slides the data based on those likely exposed.

lern_too_spel6y ago

No. IFR is mortality rate at the end of the epidemic. CFR exactly matches IFR if all infections are diagnosed.

arcticbullOP6y ago

No because you don’t know how many of them will die. In your definition you know the R not the F. Look, I’m quoting the WHO report. You’re welcome to take it up with them.

1 more reply

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse