I never said you should trust me. I said my observation is that the virus has not spread like wildfire through the population in China and appears to not be spreading like wildfire through South Korea either, having infected significantly less than 0.1% in both countries, with new infections apparently diminishing (and definitely not exploding), so based on what has actually been happening so far, in the country where the virus has been the longest and in a nearby country that has been dealing with it longer than most, there doesn't seem to be much empirical support for the idea that this is the kind of virus that will inexorably move through the entire world infecting 30-60% the entire global population. By all means, appeal to whatever authority you want, and certainly don't trust me.