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0 pointsAdamJacobMuller6y ago0 comments

Of course it could. China could easily develop and push to humans a vaccine at a pace which would make our FDA cringe, but, once its out there and tested on humans in China there's a very small chance the FDA won't be effectively forced to allow it in the USA.

Our containment efforts could prevent any significant self-sustaining communities in the USA. This seems plausible.

Testing could advance to a point where Apple safely and effectively door tests attendees. This seems like something Apple would and will do, if they can (e.g. if testing advances far enough in the next month or so).

I think Apple will announce a decision between 30-15 days out from the event and by that time their choice will be an obvious one.

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chipotle_coyote6y ago

Apple tends to announce dates 2–3 months out from WWDC. Last year's were announced on March 14th; 2018's were announced March 13th; 2016's weren't announced until April 18th. (2017's dates were announced February 16th, but that was the first year in San Jose.)

So they haven't cancelled it yet because they haven't announced it yet. They have the luxury of waiting up to another month to see how it seems things are going -- and if things go the way it seems everyone is predicting, that's absolutely what they're going to do.

Personally, "WWDC moves online for 2020" seems way more likely to me than "Apple will go ahead and announce WWDC and then wait until two weeks out to see if they have to say 'sorry, everybody, see if you can get refunds for your hotel rooms and flights.'"

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