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0 pointsbrigandish6y ago0 comments

Figure 4 in the images from this tweet[1] (taken from the same paper above, page 8) show the effect of a 99% reduction in travel, over 65% of people in cities across China will become infected.

[1] https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1220919589623803905

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infinity06y ago

The guy needs to Chill T F O. R0 of measles is like 12-18.

And with the city-wide quarantine people should be modelling 99.99% reductions in travel not 99%.

brigandishOP6y ago

> Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding (Eric Ding) is a health economist, epidemiologist, and nutrition scientist at the Harvard Chan School of Public Health, and an expert advisor to the World Health Organization.

I'm not usually one for relying heavily on authority, but this guy[1] is likely to know when the R0 number looks very, very bad.

[1] https://scholar.harvard.edu/ericding/home

infinity06y ago

Literally thousands of other people have the same qualifications as him and are also not freaking out over Twitter. I'd say the data leans more heavily in the other direction.

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0 pointsbrigandish6y ago0 comments

Figure 4 in the images from this tweet[1] (taken from the same paper above, page 8) show the effect of a 99% reduction in travel, over 65% of people in cities across China will become infected.

[1] https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1220919589623803905

0 comments

infinity06y ago

The guy needs to Chill T F O. R0 of measles is like 12-18.

And with the city-wide quarantine people should be modelling 99.99% reductions in travel not 99%.

brigandishOP6y ago

> Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding (Eric Ding) is a health economist, epidemiologist, and nutrition scientist at the Harvard Chan School of Public Health, and an expert advisor to the World Health Organization.

I'm not usually one for relying heavily on authority, but this guy[1] is likely to know when the R0 number looks very, very bad.

[1] https://scholar.harvard.edu/ericding/home

infinity06y ago

Literally thousands of other people have the same qualifications as him and are also not freaking out over Twitter. I'd say the data leans more heavily in the other direction.

1 more reply

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse