I really want to do an analysis of the money Australia would have made from that repealed carbon tax up to now, vs the total amount of all the recent donations to the RFS (currently at like A$48 million [0]).
It really is shameful that a nation with one of the highest GDPs per capita is getting donations to deal with a situation that was foreseen, and not just ignored but had (potential) solutions that were actively removed.
- reduced Australia's carbon emissions (not a massive deal by itself)
- built up a public repository of cash that could have been allocated to something useful, like funding the fire services
- lead by example; we will now never know if Australia's leading by example would have encouraged a wider implementation of carbon tax schemes and a reduction in carbon emissions
You are correct that it would have not by itself mitigated the natural drought cycle in Australia, however the opportunity to reduce the impact was lost - and Australia is poorer for it.
Finally, I did not suggest that a carbon tax would have stopped these fires, only that I would like to do an analysis between what the potential sum of taxes would have been versus the donation totals.
Cheers.
Are you implying that the rate and duration of dry spells have been the constant for thousands of years? If so, do you have data back this up?
If not, is it possible that we're living in exceptional weather conditions? A quick google gives me an article from the Bureau of Meteorology, an organization with a wealth of data, the requisite compute power to analyze the data, and actual expects of climate modelling:
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/updates/articles/a010-southern...
> The only sensible thing Australia can do is prescribed burning and bush thinning.
Do you think that fire authorities haven't been doing this already?
If anything their capacity has been reduced by recent budget cuts from NSW Liberal Party - the core policies of the Liberal Party are smaller government, individual responsibility, and hence lower taxes across the board. The Victorian Labor party, on the other hand, increased their capability.
Unfortunately there's a number of forests that are exceptionally dry due to recent long term trends, and Australia just needs more and more resources to manage its land.
So sensible things to do are:
- provide more resources for land management - stop making the world hotter
Which we are doing. But the opportunities to do prescribed burns aren't what they once were because the climate is changing and the window for these types of activities is smaller annually. We need more than just prescribed burns.
I guess beyond a particular point humanity is still at the mercy of nature isn't it? As bad as the reversals sound, making it a government thing seems like overfitting.
[0] - https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/dangerous-...
It's sad we live in a world where people would rather not know risks than know them -- think it's worthless to find studies that determine these types of risks that most people wouldn't think of, or know how to calculate, or what would be intelligent things to do to prepare for them...
I guess if all you care about is the market going up, you're better off if people know about less risks.
It's even more crass: the interests of a few oil/coal companies allow us to paper over the very real dangers of fossil fuels &c. to the detriment of basically everyone in the world, every other industry.
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/1/6/21051897/austral...