True, more use of EVs will reduce oil demand somewhat and lower prices. Though that again just means less investment in exploration and research, and temporarily seal low yield oil fields, we will still pump more or less the same enormous amount of oil we do today, if not more due to ever-increasing Earth population.
Supply and demand: lower demand, lower prices.
To use a more specific economic law, the price of a commodity is the cost of the marginal unit. Right now there is so much demand that the world uses all the $10 Saudi oil it can, all the Norwegian oil, all the fracked oil, but not all of the Canadian tar sands oil. That costs about $60 per barrel to extract and transport. Thus the current price.
This shitshow is actually widely supported and created by US and Europe, btw.
True but incomplete: In Europe we also finance the Russian shitshow by buying their natural gas.
And there are multitude of other players in this field* [1]
* examples are from Israel because I already know the names so the search is faster, surely there are multiple global providers of similar systems
[0] https://www.rafael.co.il/worlds/air-missile-defense/c-uas-co...
[1] https://www.asiatimes.com/2019/09/article/saudi-oil-facility...
Or is it the price of the "futures" (if I get that concept right) that goes up ?
Remember that the first time the oil price reached 100 USD it wasn't because of actual economic reasons, it was because a trader wanted to go down in history as the first person to buy a barrel for 100 USD.
At any point in time, prices will reflect not only the current supply and demand, but rather the future expected demand and supply.
Whenever the future supply is uncertain, there will be fluctuations.
It's not likely that there will even be a permanent reduction in capacity from this.
> London’s Brent futures leapt almost $12 in the seconds after the open, the most in dollar terms since they were launched in 1988.
> Prices have since pulled back about half of that initial surge of almost 20%
> Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump PLENTY OF OIL!
> WTI crude surged 15% at the weekly opening bell
> Prices have since pulled back around half
Seems to me to be sensationalism to get clicks.
These strikes were on oil production facilities of the Saudi kingdom, which is known for beheading people, murdering journalists, and supporting the 9/11 attacks. The US is one of the top oil producers and has its own oil, as well as strategic reserves. Why does everyone accept that the US has to "retaliate" or wage war against Iran? Why is Iran even being named at this point?
I think it is sad that we are allowing this to happen. Instead of making sure we don't completely destroy our planet and go extinct, we accept our politicians' war-drumming as a fact of life.
Meanwhile 5mln bbls of oil daily don't make it out of the ground and won't again anytime soon.
If that is not poised to happen anytime soon, the prices should go up almost immediately.
So far I think we had a mixed response.