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0 pointszzzzzzzza6y ago0 comments

the big reason why the economy cyles is due to speculative cycle in land values, the booms/busts that aren't, are more like tulip bulb manias than real recessions/depressions

you could fix it by raising land value taxes high enough to extract all land rent and thus almost eliminating land speculation. At the same time you could get rid of most of our other taxes like capital gains and income taxes.

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AnimalMuppet6y ago

> the big reason why the economy cyles is due to speculative cycle in land values

Baloney. The last one was, true. The Great Depression wasn't land, though - it was the stock market.

And rents these days don't primarily come from land. Your land value tax fits the economy of a few centuries ago, where the income primarily came from land, but it doesn't fit today, where the income primarily comes from other kinds of assets. (The value of the land it occupies is not how Amazon makes money.) All your land tax would do is penalize land compared to other asset classes. And, since you are wrong in your first point (that economic cycles are driven by speculation in land), you would do this for no good reason. That's probably not going to end well.

TheOtherHobbes6y ago

The current default isn't going to end well either.

The obvious solution is a wealth tax instead of income taxes. Take back the money that's been privatised, end the pointless and inefficient boom and bust hamster wheel, and spend bigly on productive social investment - education, gamechanger R&D, small business development, aerospace, robotics, AI, renewables, and other physical infrastructure.

Why isn't this happening already?

AnimalMuppet6y ago

I think that a wealth (or capital) tax makes more sense than a land tax.

Why hasn't it happened yet? I can see two reasons. Pick which one you think is more believable.

Reason 1: The rich don't like the idea of a wealth tax, and the rich have a lot of political clout.

Reason 2: The consequences could be rather negative. If the US creates a wealth tax, you'd see an exodus of assets and rich people. It would become a less attractive location for businesses (including startups). Would that be a net win for the US?

zzzzzzzzaOP6y ago

yea, nice, how do you assess wealth? (you can't) also your wealth tax creates.. deadweight loss, lvt actually benefits the economy.

Meanwhile land wealth correlates very well with real wealth. Jeff bezos, for instance is one of the biggest landowners in the United States. And we already have a system in place to assess property values - and there's no way to hide property.

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zzzzzzzzaOP6y ago

bullshit. a big part of the assets the stock market is valuing is land/property. Banks lend out... mortgages... mcdonalds has... stores. There was totally a land value bubble preceding the great depression. Right now we have a land value bubble AND a nifty fifty style stock market bubble... but compare the dot com bust to the great recession. One was way more devastating than the other. Right now, tech companies have very high pe ratios... BUT if and when those profits actually materialize, they will be capitalized into land values.

Even 10000 years from now, when civilization consists of a bunch of satellites orbiting the sun in a dyson swarm, an analogous orbit value tax will be the most logical source of tax revenue for a far future government. Land is always a prequisite for doing business, and absent an LVT, private sector actors will benefit from the network effects inherent therein, instead of the community that that value was actually generated by.

What's your alternative to a LVT, a sales tax? A vat? Income tax? Deadweight loss, deadweight loss, deadweight loss.

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AnimalMuppet6y ago

> the big reason why the economy cyles is due to speculative cycle in land values

Baloney. The last one was, true. The Great Depression wasn't land, though - it was the stock market.

TheOtherHobbes6y ago

The current default isn't going to end well either.

Why isn't this happening already?

AnimalMuppet6y ago

I think that a wealth (or capital) tax makes more sense than a land tax.

Why hasn't it happened yet? I can see two reasons. Pick which one you think is more believable.

Reason 1: The rich don't like the idea of a wealth tax, and the rich have a lot of political clout.

zzzzzzzzaOP6y ago

yea, nice, how do you assess wealth? (you can't) also your wealth tax creates.. deadweight loss, lvt actually benefits the economy.

1 more reply

zzzzzzzzaOP6y ago

What's your alternative to a LVT, a sales tax? A vat? Income tax? Deadweight loss, deadweight loss, deadweight loss.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse