I think this debate is interesting, but I don't expect Apple to be happy about the final outcome. A developer publishing solely on Apple's App Store (and relying solely on Apple features to provide functionality) has no direct access to the customer* - Apple prevents that fairly well. In this case, I feel like, as a consumer, I'm Apple's customer. I think courts, and especially juries, would agree.
That said, I don't see how the App Store is a monopoly. How would "monopoly" be defined to even formulate a case against Apple?
* - notwithstanding that many apps want you to create an account on their systems - Apple does indeed allow this.