This would likely increase prediction quality/accuracy.
Does that mean you don't log in anyway any information about visitor, and that you share all gathered information by contributors with the public ? For example, where can I download the whole database of prediction, with votes, comments and history ?
If I can't, I'm assuming this is not fully public and you potentially use my data as a visitor and/or contributor to make money, and you therefore need a legal entity to represent the website.
> If the User is a U.S. Person, User represents that user is an accredited investor
[1]:https://www.econtalk.org/philip-tetlock-on-superforecasting/...
As soon as you have more than a dozen you will need tags or category. Tech, science, politics, sports... will cater to vastly different people and foster different discussions.
I don't like the fact that Twitter is required to sign up.
The Good Judgement Project does all these things: https://www.gjopen.com/
This website, on the other hand, seems to encourage none of these epistemic virtues. It's people making more or less precise verbal predictions on twitter and then assessing themselves.
Jeremy Keith bet that “The original URL for this prediction (www.longbets.org/601) will no longer be available in eleven years.”
He looks set to lose, which is great news for him, honestly.
I would like a filter for controversial, having people add: The earth will still exist in 2020, is not so interesting.
I normally don't like leaderboards, but in this case, it would be nice if and only if it was weighted by how controversial the prediction is.
Honestly, not as nice as what was shared from a UI perspective. However, the user experience on predictionbook.com appears better.
