That's wonderful that you are open to feedback from geeks with fringe interests.
If I were in charge of this project, I would strive for simplicity and for appeal to the widest audience, and not indulge the geeks, students, professionals, and hypochondriacs who might want this feature.
The casual user should get fuzzy names for probability values, as you already do. I wouldn't even let them see the numeric values - that seems like bad psychology and an invitation to ascribe the wrong meaning.
Maybe there is a way to make everyone happy though? Is there already a "debug mode" for developers? Making it possible (not easy, but possible) for users to activate debug mode might be a way to expose functionality which would provide the kind of information.
> Is there a certain minimum probability you'd want to see before seeing a condition (e.g., if something is 1% matching vs 10% vs 70%)?
For people like me, I'd like to be able to dynamically set the value myself.
For the general public - the way you do it now seems good.