So he would have been much better off just spending that 1,200 on Bitcoin rather than on a mining rig.
And indeed, it couldn't possibly. The EMH almost guarantees that hobby mining can't be profitable once the coin is popular enough.
So given his current return, of 1.01 bitcoins, that means each 2.4 bitcoins mined use around the electricity that a US household does annually.
And people wonder why there are those of us who are concerned about the environmental impact...
Mostly they're concentrated around cheap hydroelectricity, with major mines in Labrador (2c/kwh), Central China (varies, but <4c/kwh), and Georgia (unknown, bitfury likely has a special deal with the local government). A few exceptions are Northern China (coal grid @ ~3c/kwh) and Iceland (geothermal @ maybe 5c/kwh, this isn't too clear either).
Solar panels are not effective for bitcoin mining, because hardware needs to run 24/7 (a shitload of batteries are needed) and the upfront cost is high.
The problem is that you have the difficulty going up, and the capital costs.
Track those three curves and you have a good sense of the window for profit.
TL; DR Why economists don't like deflation.
I pay my VPN using bitcoin. Also have a GPU bought with bitcoin. Just saying.
That's a real world use case.
In Europe, I split a 0.36 Euro SEPA fee for a 1000 Euro transaction between two different banks in two different countries.
Bitcoin would have cost me $3-5 if not more.
Except for paying people for services and goods with bitcoin? There are plenty of legal venues to use bitcoin.
>It's the worst sort of gambling: you do not even know the odds.
So...like all investing? lol. Like seriously dude what the fuck do you know? Can you please take your blowhard bullshit somewhere else?
The actual problem, especially in the past, was that you could pay for the hardware but not actually obtain it for months, by which point it was no longer profitable. Presumably, the manufacturers were using the hardware themselves during that period.
There are practical concerns as well, these machines are usually pretty poor quality and the immense heat + poor cooling typically means the chips will burn out one-by-one over time. The PSUs are especially poor and will burn out and need replacing as well. Getting a used ASIC means these will be problems sooner.
It should say: hobby miners barely break even over a year after the rise in bitcoin prices if they ignore the cost of power.
However, the difficulty of mining has gone up so much that they are unlikely to recoup the power costs going forward.
Smart money right now isn't in BTC, unless you think you can predict what's going to happen in the next six months and you're willing to keep it for a longer period. And, even then, you'd be better off selling it back to USD and re-buying when it likely falls back down to sub-$2000 in a month.
Ah, so smart money is predicting what will happen with BTC in the next six months and acting accordingly.
> unless you think you can predict what's going to happen in the next six months
Ah, you can't predict what will happen in the next six months.
Where is it then ? I too would like to join the 'rich fast' bandwagon !
That's not free...
Trust me, these miners put off enough heat that it's not an issue.
Another way to think of it: The heat from a bitcoin rig is the same that you would get if you used an electric space heater or an electric baseboard heater. These cost about 2-3x as much to run as a gas or oil furnace. So, if you're able to turn off your heat and just heat with a bitcoin rig, your "cost" is less because you're not spending money on something else.
GPU prices: https://camelcamelcamel.com/search?sq=geforce+1060
Mining centric cards are being released as well: http://www.anandtech.com/show/11607/cryptocurrency-mining-ca...
If someone really knows their hardware engineering they could interface with GDDR5 memory on a custom board and mine as fast or faster than a GPU.
It's just a matter of how much money it will take to develop such a chip. I'd guess at least $2-5 million given how you'd need to fabricate it at 14nm or better to get sufficient performance, and that process can be a serious headache for smaller firms.
Ten R580 cards can really crank out hashes for Ethereum. For a GPU to keep up it's going to have serious memory bandwidth issues as that's one of the limiting factors in this brand of mining.
What you might see is someone getting a license to make "OEM video cards" and then produce a line of mining-optimized cards. Given the constrained supply across the board on any AMD GPU this would be an easy win for a company like MSI or Gigabyte that's already making GPUs. Strip off the useless ports, tune the memory bandwidth, and make them work over USB-C instead of PCI-e so you can really pack a system full of these things.
Making an external GPU that comes in a nice housing with USB-C interconnect would also sell well in the machine learning market where you wouldn't have to worry so much about shoe-horning GPUs in your case. You could just stuff them in a rack.
There's an argument that the cards will flood the market and won't have any resale value, though I'm not sure (plenty of people want the cards for gaming). In any case that's mainly applicable to AMD cards.
However, the reason I bought NVIDIA is at least I have 4x 1060's as a nice little CUDA box afterwards.
The computers were always on before we started mining so we don't consider the expense as a loss.
mining adds slightly to the decentralized nature but I am curious about comparing buy and hold vs mine.
There are other benefits as well. Buying the mining rig is a sort of hedge in that if bitcoin drops to $0, you at least have some hardware that can be re-purposed/sold.
You also now have a slightly old, very special purpose computer... it is like owning a three year old graphics card in a world where you decided graphics cards are not that interesting to own... what exactly are you "repurposing" it for? If it is some really awesome ASIC-based mining rig it might only be useful to mine Bitcoin.
As for repurposing hardware, that might work with GPUs (although their value depreciates pretty quickly) but the Antminer is a custom ASIC, so it can't do a lot more than bruteforce SHA-256.
No. You don't.
The other stuff is just confusing.