Yes, this is what I am saying. However, that has nothing to do with the price of co-pays for routine care, which is by definition predictable.
> But no, you can explain that with regular economics too: insurance companies are incentivized to make annual physicals affordable and attractive, because they can catch potentially-expensive medical issues when they're still much less expensive, thus lowering costs for the insurance company.
See, this is another pervasive myth. For healthy individuals, the annual physical is not cost-effective - it is very unlikely to result in long-term benefits to the patient, and it is far more likely to result in unnecessary care (such as follow-up tests and differential diagnoses for false positives): https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/re-thinking-the-annual-phys...
Also, I don't know why you're drawing a dichotomy between what I'm saying and "regular market economics". Everything I have said is standard, textbook economic theory. There's nothing obscure or even controversial about it about economists.