As to connotation's, that's faulty reasoning. The only correct response to any of my questions was, not enough information. Yet, you where more than happy to try and both pick a response and then justify it. Even when I directly said you were wrong.

Now, the same identical reasoning happens all over the place in the criminal justice system. Making the link between crime statistics and crimes almost meaningless. Arrest statistics are just that arrest statistics and they don't tell you about who was actually committing crimes.

PS: I suspect you feel very confidante about his race, except I never confirmed or denied your assumption.

Edit: TLDR; Making a judgement with limited evidence is a really bad habit. People soon forget they chose something because it was slightly better odds and reinforce the judgement so something that may have been even odds to start with often feels much more likely over time.