I am really looking forward to the day Apple will stop calling the Apple TV a "hobby" and do something cool with it. The App Store (or an App Store) might be the way to go…
As for iTunes, as jkincaid said, the catalog is now DRM-free so it's not as much of a lock-in problem. But right now, there isn't much to move your music to. You can replace it with services like Pandora and Last.fm, but your music library would stay where it is. However the acquisition of Lala.com and the rumors around itunes.com (if they become true) have the potential to maintain Apple's control of the music part when it moves towards a completely streamed system. And in that domain, Apple's mindshare is already so huge that it would assure their success if they execute on time.