undefined | Better HN

0 pointscatshirt10y ago0 comments

your source doesn't support your claim at all...

> "increase to 11.2 billion in the year 2100"

> "may rise to 16 billion by 2100"

> "forecasts between 9.3 and 12.6 billion in 2100, and continued growth thereafter"

> "World population to hit 11bn in 2100 – with 70% chance of continuous rise"

0 comments

1 comments · 1 top-level

goodcanadian10y ago

I was using the middle model. The lower model shows a peak of 8-9 billion in about 2050. The upper model shows continued growth past 2011. Hence, "large error bars." Anyway, I agree it is not the best source, but I didn't want to leave my claim completely without citation. If you investigate a bit, I think you'll find that my claim is consistent with UN estimates.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse